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 Research |
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Could Gold Lose 40-50 Percent in Value? |
| As Europe's debt crisis worsens and as Wall Street's madmen nuclear bomb billions on foolish credit trades, the 'currency of last resort' hasn't been acting the least bit defensive. And for anyone with the wrong gold strategy, it's becoming a major problem. - 05-15-2012 |
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Buy-and-Hold is NOT a Sound Investment Strategy |
| Buy-and-hold is not a viable strategy. It is merely a way to rationalize losses.
- 05-15-2012 |
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The Euro - How Low Can it Go? |
| Two bailout funds, several political changes, and lots of promises later and the eurozone still finds itself heading toward the point of no return. How much further can the euro fall? - 05-14-2012 |
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Is the 3-Year Bull Market Rolling Over? |
| The ‘bull market’ is past its three-year anniversary and is about to reach maturity based on historical average. At the same time, the U.S. stock market is deteriorating in plain sight, yet unnoticed. - 05-11-2012 |
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JP Morgan: Not Too Big to Whale |
| Once again a single trader has caused massive losses for a large financial institution. The trader's activities were even reported publically and nothing was done to curtail him. The risks in the financial system appear to be just as large as they were in 2008. - 05-11-2012 |
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Is Gold Really a 'Safe-Haven' Trade? |
| Gold has been shamelessly sold as a safe haven trade, but it hasn't been acting that way as of late. Debunking the popular theory that gold is "safe." - 05-10-2012 |
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The Myth of Expert Advice - Part 5 |
| "Experts" (people who make it their job to understand and forecast markets or events) are usually no better at their jobs than dart-throwing monkeys. In this series of articles, we examine why these "experts" can be so wrong. - 05-10-2012 |
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Short-term Support/Resistance Levels Rarely Worked Better Than Now |
| The S&P has been range bound for the last three months, and while U. S. stocks are sputtering, the trade signals given by support/resistance levels are firing on all cylinders. - 05-09-2012 |
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What will Europe’s Political Change mean for euro? |
| A change in political power is often followed by great enthusiasm and hope from the general public, regardless of whether that hope is realistically justified. And while Europe's political characters are changing, its debt problems are still the same. - 05-07-2012 |
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U.S. Labor Force Shrinking at Alarming Rate |
| The BLS released its April employment numbers today and they indicated 115,000 jobs had been created and the umemployment rate held steady. What wasn't stated was how fast the U.S. labor force is declining -- an indication of an economy in big trouble. - 05-04-2012 |
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2010 and 2011 Earnings Were Good but Sunk Stocks – Will 2012 be a Repeat? |
| Corporate earnings for Q1 2010 and Q1 2011 were better than expected, yet stocks sold off severely. Earnings for Q1 2012 are once again better than expected. Will stocks sell off again? - 05-04-2012 |
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Social Security Doesn’t Solve America’s Income Problem |
| Why are people still relying on a broken government sponsored jalopy that's on target to go bust by 2033? - 05-03-2012 |
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The Myth of Expert Advice - Part 4 |
| "Experts" (people who make it their job to understand and forecast markets or events) are usually no better at their jobs than dart-throwing monkeys. In this series of articles, we examine why these "experts" can be so wrong. - 05-02-2012 |
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3 Big Fat Long-Term Bearish Hurdles |
| Corporate earnings are at all-time highs. This sounds bullish but is more likely to turn into a 'bullish boomerang,' particularly when combined with other big fat long-term bearish developments. - 05-02-2012 |
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Detailed Chart Analysis Shows Where the Nasdaq is Headed |
| Like an alpha-male, the Nasdaq has been leading the pack of broad market indexes. If you want to know where the market is going, you need to know what the Nasdaq's condition is. Here's a detailed analysis of the Nasdaq-100. - 05-01-2012 |
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The Myth of Expert Advice - Part 3 |
| "Experts" (people who make it their job to understand and forecast markets or events) are usually no better at their jobs than dart-throwing monkeys. In this series of articles, we examine why these "experts" can be so wrong. - 04-25-2012 |
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The ECB, Spanish Bonds and U.S. Stocks |
| Once again the Dow Industrials were strong and the Nasdaq was weak. Just as before when this occurred, Spanish bonds and the euro rallied. ECB activity is behind all of them. - 04-24-2012 |
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Stuck in a Rut for 2 Months - What Will Break the Go Nowhere Range? |
| Periods of sideways trading are often a set up for the market’s next move and should be used to come up with a long-term plan. What’s the long-term outlook for stocks? - 04-20-2012 |
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The Myth of Expert Advice - Part 2 |
| "Experts" (people who make it their job to understand and forecast markets or events) are usually no better at their jobs than dart-throwing monkeys. In this series of articles, we examine why these "experts" can be so wrong. - 04-19-2012 |
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Non-Confirmation is a Problem for the Market |
| The Dow Industrials and the Nasdaq moved strongly in opposite directions on Monday. This is highly unusual behavior and does not bode well for the bull market. - 04-17-2012 |
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Spain Now Causing Pain in EU |
| Spanish 10-year government yields have risen above 6% for the fourth time in the last year. The ECB has spent well over a trillion dollars trying to hold down bond yields in the peripheral countries to keep them from going the way of Greece. It looks like its efforts are failing once again. - 04-16-2012 |
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Conflicts at the Federal Reserve Emerge |
| The Fed’s exit strategy from trillion dollar stimulus plans is becoming harder and harder because financial markets have become more and more addicted. And the Fed's members appear to be on different pages. - 04-13-2012 |
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Is A Major Market Top Forming? |
| After a brilliant start, stocks have done a lot of “fluctuating,” where strong down days are followed by spirited recoveries and much conflicting data. So, what’s next for stocks? - 04-13-2012 |
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The Myth of Expert Advice - Part 1 |
| "Experts" (people who make it their job to understand and forecast markets or events) are usually no better at their jobs than dart-throwing monkeys. In this series of articles, we will examine why these "experts" can be so wrong. - 04-12-2012 |
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Why Hasn't the SEC Banned ETNs? |
| The $17 billion ETN market is out-of-control because the permissive Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has allowed it to become that way. - 04-11-2012 |
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Converting your Gold into Income |
| Gold is being bought and sold as the one financial solution to everything. From a hedge against inflation to protecting against currency blowups, gold is the usual answer. But there's one major obstacle that gold doesn't solve. - 04-09-2012 |
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March Jobs Numbers Not That Surpising |
| The March non-farm payroll numbers came in at 120,000, below the 150,000 level need for unemployment not to rise. Nevertheless, the BLS reported the unemployment rate fell from 8.3% to 8.2%. The shrinking labor force was once again the cause of the shrinking unemployment rate even though people don't leave the labor force during economic recoveries. - 04-06-2012 |
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The Indicator That’s Predicted Every Single Rally Leg in 2012 May Be the Key to Picking a Market Top |
| The key question right now is whether any correction is a buying opportunity or a break of momentum that will lead to (much?) lower prices. Here's the one indicator that worked in 2011 and has had a stellar record in 2012. - 04-06-2012 |
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Market Can't Stay Up Without Liquidity |
| Even the mere suggestion that liquidity won't be forthcoming is enough to cause a market selloff. This not only impacted stocks on Wednesday, but commodities had an even bigger selloff. - 04-04-2012 |
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Roubini Pooh-poohs Europe |
| Dr. Doom gives Europe free marriage counseling lessons and says a divorce settlement might be the best chances for long-term success. - 04-04-2012 |
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